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国家自然科学基金(50279010)

作品数:2 被引量:68H指数:2
相关作者:马海洲杨银科蔡秋芳史江峰刘禹更多>>
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发文基金:国家自然科学基金国家重点基础研究发展计划中国科学院黄土与第四纪地质国家重点实验室开放基金更多>>
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Precipitation variation in the northeastern Tibetan Plateau recorded by the tree rings since 850 AD and its relevance to the Northern Hemisphere temperature被引量:45
2006年
Three well-dated Sabina Przewalskii ring-width chronologies from Dulan, China, have been used to reconstruct annual precipitation (from prior July to current June) variations on the northeast Tibetan Plateau since 850 AD. The reconstructions account of the instrumentally recorded precipitation variance are: 54.7% for the period of 1385-2000AD; 50.5% for 1099-1384AD and 45.7% for 850-1098AD. On the millenary scale, the precipitation variation over this region displays “W” shape, which has three peaks and two valleys. The precipitation is low during 1571-1879 AD, and high during 1880-2000 AD. 1900-2000 AD is the century with the highest precipitation over the northeast Tibetan Plateau in the last 1000 years, and 1962-2000 is the period with the highest pre- cipitation, and the highest variability of precipitation as well in the last 1000 years. The reconstructed series also reveals that the variability of annual precipitation is large when the precipitation is more, and contrarily, variability is small when the precipitation is low. With the temperature increasing obvi- ously in the 20th century, the precipitation in the study region significantly increased too, the variability of precipitation became larger, and drought and flooding occurred more frequently. The yearly tree-ring width (high frequency signal) series in this region reflects the local annually precipitation variation. However, the series with 40-year moving average (low frequency signal) cor- responds to the Northern Hemisphere temperature variations on the decadal to centurial scale. It correlates significantly with seven temperature curves of the Northern Hemisphere in the different time spans. For example, the correlation coefficients with the most temperature curves are around 0.9 during the period of 1852-1982 AD. In general, the temperature and the precipitation change syn- chronously in the Dulan region. It means that low temperature corresponds to low precipitation, andvice versa. This relationship may indicate that the climatic pattern i
John K. Kutzbach
关键词:SABINAHEMISPHERE
以树木年轮宽度资料重建湟水河过去248年来6-7月份河流径流量被引量:25
2006年
基于树轮宽度指标,精确重建了黄河上游一级支流湟水河过去248年来6-7月份河流径流量,发现湟水河6-7月份径流量有明显的枯水期和丰水期的变化。重建结果与历史记载的相对旱涝时期比较吻合,证明了重建结果的可靠性。其中枯水期为:1753-1766年、1785-1802年、1815-1832年、1861-1887年、1918-1941年、1963-1978年、1993-1998年;丰水期为:1767-1784年、1803-1814年、1834-1860年、1891-1916年、1944-1961年、1979-1992年。周期分析表明,湟水河过去近250年6-7月份径流量有明显的2.00a、2.29a、2.31a、2.33a、2.35a、34.29a、40.00a和48.00a的变化周期。
刘禹杨银科蔡秋芳马海洲史江峰
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