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国家自然科学基金(41171066)

作品数:12 被引量:64H指数:5
相关作者:刘明哲魏文寿张延伟高培陆恒更多>>
相关机构:中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所中国气象局新疆信息工程学校更多>>
发文基金:国家自然科学基金中国科学院西部之光基金公益性行业科研专项更多>>
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12 条 记 录,以下是 1-10
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Observations and Modeling of Incoming Longwave Radiation to Snow Beneath Forest Canopies in the West Tianshan Mountains, China被引量:3
2014年
Forest canopy reduces shortwave radiation and increases the incoming longwave radiation to snowpacks beneath forest canopies. Furthermore, the effect of forest canopy may be changed by complex topography. In this paper, we measured and simulated the incoming longwave radiation to snow beneath forest at different canopy openness in the west Tianshan Mountains, China(43°16'N, 84°24'E) during spring 2013. A sensitivity study was conducted to explore the way that terrain influenced the incoming longwave radiation to snow beneath forest canopies. In the simulation model, measurement datasets, including air temperature, incoming shortwave radiation above canopy, and longwave radiation enhanced by adjacent terrain, were applied to calculate the incoming longwave radiation to snow beneath forest canopy. The simulation results were consistent with the measurements on hourly scale and daily scale. The effect of longwave radiation enhanced by terrain was important than that of shortwave radiation above forest canopy with different openness except the 20% canopy openness. The longwave radiation enhanced due to adjacent terrain increases with the slope increase and temperature rise. When air temperature(or slope) is relatively low, thelongwave radiation enhanced by adjacent terrain is not sensitive to slope(or air temperature), but the sensitivity increases with the decrease of snow cover area on sunny slope. The effect of longwave radiation is especially sensitive when the snow cover on sunny slope melts completely. The effect of incoming shortwave radiation reflected by adjacent terrain on incoming longwave radiation to snow beneath forest canopies is more slight than that of the enhanced longwave radiation.
LU HengWEI Wen-shouLIU Ming-zheHAN XiHONG Wen
关键词:长波辐射林冠下短波辐射
Spatial and temporal temperature variations in Xinjiang,China during 1961-2008被引量:4
2012年
This study examines spatial and temporal changes in 16 extreme temperature indices at 37 weather stations in Xinjiang and their associations with changes in climate means during 1961-2008.Linear regression analyses reveal that significant increasing trends in temperature were observed over Xinjiang,with the rate of 0.13 °C/decade,0.24 °C/decade,and 0.52 °C/decade for annual mean temperature,annual maximum,and minimum temperature,respectively.Annual frequency of cool nights(days) has decreased by 2.45 days/decade(0.86 days/decade),whereas the frequency of warm nights(days) has increased by 4.85 days/decade(1.62 days/decade).Seasonally,the frequencies of summer warm nights and days are changing more rapidly than the corresponding frequencies for cool nights and days.However,normalization of the extreme and mean series shows that the rate of changes in extreme temperature events are generally less than those of mean temperatures,except for winter cold nights which are changing as rapidly as the winter mean minimum temperatures.These results indicate that there have been seasonally and diurnally asymmetric changes in extreme temperature events relative to recent increases in temperature means in Xinjiang.
YanWei ZhangWenShou WeiFengQing JiangMingZhe LiuWenWen WangLei BaiKaiFeng LiRui ShaoZhiWen Dong
关键词:温度变化年平均气温
1961—2004年新疆降水极值概率分布特征被引量:16
2012年
根据1961—2004年新疆地区55个气象站逐日降水观测资料和PRECIS(Providing Regional Climates for Impacts Studies)区域气候影响模式(1961—2004年)逐日降水模拟资料,建立年最大降水AM(annual maximum)序列及日降水量小于0.05mm的年连续最长干旱天数AMCD(Annual Maximum Consecutive Dry Days)序列,分析了新疆地区降水极值序列的时空分布特征和概率分布模式。结果表明:①新疆地区降水事件的强度和概率最大的地区位于阿合奇、巴里坤、昭苏、乌鲁木齐等地,干旱事件强度和概率最大的地区位于且末、若羌、吐鲁番等地;②PRECIS区域气候影响模式模拟的新疆地区AM事件的多年平均值普遍高于观测值,且离差系数也普遍高于观测值;③PRECIS区域气候影响模式模拟结果与观测的降水极值空间分布有一定的差异,需要进行改进,但具有实际参考价值。对于实际观测的降水极值概率分布的拟合,证明了GEV分布函数能够较好地拟合降水极值的概率分布。
张延伟姜逢清魏文寿王雯雯刘明哲韩茜洪雯陆恒
关键词:降水极值广义极值分布
新疆西天山积雪稳定期不同下垫面雪物理特性对比被引量:9
2012年
利用上海精创单双通道温湿度记录仪、Snow Fork雪特性分析仪和雪筛等仪器采集的积雪物理特性数据,对比了天山积雪雪崩站积雪稳定期不同下垫面条件下的积雪物理特性.结果表明:实验区内雪层平均温度林地最高,水泥路面最低;雪层剖面最底层的日平均温度草地最高,水泥路面最低;水泥路面温度梯度最大,林地的雪层温度梯度最小,且林地积雪剖面上层的暖中心出现时间滞后于草地和水泥路面1 h;水泥路面、草地、林地的平均含水率依次递增,分别为0.18%,0.19%,0.20%;雪层日平均相对湿度变化与雪层温度和含水率变化大致相同;草地、水泥路面、森林的上覆积雪的平均密度依次递减,分别为0.15,0.14,0.13g/m^3.林地雪层剖面上部的雪密度最小,但中部和底部的都高于草地和水泥路面的;林地的新雪质量分数最小,粗颗粒雪所占比例最大;而草地底部的深霜发育优于水泥路面和林地.
高培魏文寿刘明哲
新疆观测极端气候事件研究进展
2014年
当前极端气候事件发生的频次、强度等,严重影响人类的安全及社会发展.本文从观测新疆的极端气候事件资料研究发现,极端气温和降水事件发生了显著变化.(1)极端气候事件定义和极端气候事件的研究指标,给出了前人研究的现状及其多个定义和研究指标,依据前人的研究结果提出个人见解.(2)归纳新疆地区极端气温/降水事件研究现状.(3)对于新疆地区当前极端气候事件研究现状进行了分析,提出了一些有待于解决的问题.
张延伟
关键词:极端气候极端气温极端降水
Metamorphism and Microstructure of Seasonal Snow:Single Layer Tracking in Western Tianshan,China被引量:3
2014年
Snowpack is a combination of several snow layers. Accordingly, snowpack natural metamorphism is composed of several stages. The aim of this study is to investigate the natural snow metamorphism at the snow layer unit. The field investigation was conducted at the Tianshan Station for Snow Cover and Avalanche Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences(43°16' N, 84°24' E, and 1,776 m a.s.l.), during the winter of 2010-2011. A complete metamorphic procedure and the corresponding microstructure of a target snow layer were tracked. The results indicate that: the ideal and complete metamorphic process and the corresponding predominant snow grain shape have 5 stages: 1) unstable kinetic metamorphism near the surface; 2) unstable kinetic metamorphism under pressure; 3) stable kinetic metamorphism; 4) equilibrium metamorphism; 5) wet snow metamorphism. Snow grain size sharply decreased in the surface stage, and then changed to continuously increase. Rapid increase of grain size occurred in the stable kinetic metamorphism and wet snow metamorphism stage. The characteristic length was introduced to represent the real sizes of depth hoar crystals. The snow grain circularity ratio had a variation of "rapid increase–slow decrease–slow increase", and the snow aggregations continuously increased with time. Snow density grew stepwise and remained steady from the stable kinetic to the equilibrium metamorphism stage. The differences in metamorphism extent and stages among snow layers, led to the characteristic layered structure of snowpack.
HONG WenWEI Wen-shouLIU Ming-zheLU HengHAN XiZHANG Yan-wei
关键词:动力变质作用金相组织季节性
1961—2010年北疆地区极端气候事件变化被引量:15
2013年
本文利用1961—2010年北疆地区20个气象台站的逐日降水量、最高气温、最低气温及平均气温资料,采用国际气候诊断与指数小组(ETCDDMI)所提供极端降水和气温事件的各种指标,对极端气候事件时空变化规律进行分析。结果表明:近50年,北疆地区极端降水和气温事件有显著的增加趋势;在北疆不同气候区极端降水指标变化趋势表现不同,其中准噶尔盆地地区增长趋势最慢;冷夜(日)指数呈现下降趋势,为-4.05d/10a(-1.51d/10a),暖夜(日)指数呈现增加趋势,为4.36d/10a(1.64d/10a)。线性趋势分析发现,在20世纪80年代后极端降水事件有明显的增加趋势;应用M-K检测年最高气温和年最低气温,发现大多数站点在20世纪80年代后年最高气温和年最低气温也呈现显著增加。这表明在20世纪80年代后,北疆地区的极端气候事件增加趋势更加显著。
张延伟李红忠魏文寿刘明哲史本林
关键词:北疆
新疆玛纳斯河径流演变过程及驱动力分析被引量:6
2012年
文中结合玛纳斯河肯斯瓦特(1956-2007a)、红山嘴站(1956-2004a)径流及流域内年均蒸发量、气温数据,利用Mann-Kendall非参数检验,小波分析和灰色系统理论,对其变化趋势、突变和周期进行分析。结果表明:肯斯瓦特和红山嘴径流量皆显著增加,突变分别发生在1996a和1997a;玛纳斯河径流变化与气温、蒸发量最为敏感,气温呈显著递增趋势且突变点在1989a,而蒸发量显著下降,但突变不明显;气温、蒸发量的主周期为11、22、4、7a和15、22a,而径流量为15、20和22a;红山嘴(1997-2004a)8a平均实测径流量比天然径流量增加了4.768×108m3,气候因子对红山嘴径流影响量为12.117×108m3,人类活动影响量为7.349×108m3,表明气候因子是驱动玛纳斯河红山嘴水文站以上径流量演变的主导因素。
高培刘明哲
关键词:径流演变小波分析灰色系统
Assessing changes in extreme precipitation over Xinjiang using regional climate model of PRECIS被引量:2
2015年
In this paper, an analysis, with the simulation of PRECIS(Providing Regional Climate for Impact Studies), was made for future precipitation extremes, under SRES(Special Report on Emission Scenarios) A2 and B2 in IPCC(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) AR4. The precipitation extremes were calculated and analyzed by ETCCDI(Climate Change Detection and Indices). The results show that:(1) In Present Scenario(1961–1900), PRECIS could capture the spatial pattern of precipitation in Xinjiang.(2) The simulated annual precipitation and seasonal precipitation in Xinjiang had a significantly positive trend and its variability had been deeply impacted by terrain. There was a strong association between increasing trend and the extreme precipitation's increase in frequency and intensity during 1961–2008. Under SRES A2 and B2, extreme precipitation indicated an increasing tendency at the end of the 21 st century. The extreme summer precipitation increased prominently in a year.(3) PRECIS's simulation under SRES A2 and B2 indicated increased frequency of heavy precipitation events and also enhancement in their intensity towards the end of the 21 st century. Both A2 and B2 scenarios show similar patterns of projected changes in precipitation extremes towards the end of the 21 st century. However, the magnitude of changes in B2 scenario was on the lower side. In case of extreme precipitation, variation between models can exceed both internal variability and variability of different SRES.
YanWei ZhangQuanSheng GeFengQing JiangJingYun ZhengWenShou Wei
关键词:PRECIS降水变化区域气候SRES年降水量
Energy Budget over Seasonal Snow Surface at an Open Site and Beneath Forest Canopy Openness during the Snowmelt Period in Western Tianshan Mountains,China被引量:1
2015年
In this study, meteorological factors and snowmelt rate at an open site on sunny slope(OPS) and beneath forest canopy openness on shady slope(BFC) were measured using an automatic weather station and snow lysimeter during the snowmelt period in 2009, 2010 and 2013. The energy budget over snow surface was calculated according to these meteorological datasets. The analysis results indicated that the net shortwave radiation(K) and sensible heat flux(H) were energy sources, and the latent heat flux(LVE) was energy sinks of snow surfaces at all sites. The net longwave radiation(L) was energy sink at OPS and 80% BFC, but energy source at 20% BFC. The gain of K, H, and the loss of LVE at BFC were obviously lower than those at OPS. The L was the maximum difference of energy budget between snow surface at BFC and OPS. In warm and wet years, the most important factor of the energy budget variation at OPS was air humidity and the second mostimportant factor was air temperature. However, the ground surface temperature on the sunny slope was the most important factor for L and energy budget at BFC. With the increases in forest canopy openness and the slope of adjacent terrains, the influences of ground surface temperature on the sunny slope on L and the energy budget over snow surface at BFC increased, especially when the snow cover on the sunny slope melts completely.
LU HengWEI Wen-shouLIU MingzheHAN XiHONG Wen
关键词:天山西部融雪表面温度
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