On the basis of the assumption that ω2 model accords with source displacement spectra,we have obtained the mathematical expressions for calculating apparent stresses of moderate-small shocks from low-frequency flat level and corner frequency. By using digital seismic records,apparent stress values are calculated for 823 moder-ate-small shocks of 4 earthquake series in Yunnan area following corrections for instrument response,propagation influence and site effect. The results show that for the 4 earthquake series in Yunnan area,apparent stress hints precursory information,which means that if a moderate-small shock occurs with apparent stress larger than 1 MPa in an earthquake series,a moderate-strong earthquake will occur afterwards; and if there is not moderate-small shock with apparent stress larger than 1 MPa after a moderate-strong event in an earthquake series,strong after-shock will not occur. The research also indicates that the average apparent stress value is 0.8 MPa in Yunnan area,therefore,apparent stress is not obviously related to seismic magnitude.
On the basis of the assumption that ω2 model accords with source displacement spectra of moderate-small shocks, we calculate the apparent stress values of 1 020 moderate-small shocks recorded by the Digital Seismic Network of Yunnan Province by using the low-frequency flat level and corner frequencies. The results show that the apparent stress is of good significance in earthquake prediction. The moderate-small shock with apparent stress larger than 0.9 MPa can be used as a referential index to predict moderate-strong earthquakes in Yunnan area. And its relevant predictability evaluation (R value) has a high confidence level.
