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国家重点基础研究发展计划(2009CB421403)

作品数:8 被引量:45H指数:4
相关作者:徐海邹捍李鹏张士锋张永勇更多>>
相关机构:中国科学院大气物理研究所中国科学院大学华北电力大学更多>>
发文基金:国家重点基础研究发展计划国家自然科学基金公益性行业(气象)科研专项更多>>
相关领域:天文地球水利工程航空宇航科学技术自动化与计算机技术更多>>

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8 条 记 录,以下是 1-10
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分布式水循环模型的参数优化算法比较及应用被引量:5
2013年
分布式水文模型的优势在于还原水文过程的时空变异性,可以很好地模拟和反映各种水文要素和下垫面因素的时空分布不均匀性。由此也导致模型参数过多,在子流域过多的情况下,人工调节参数繁琐复杂,应用优化算法实现参数自动调节成为首选。本文选取石羊河流域九条岭站1988-2005年实测径流资料,分别应用SCE-UA算法、遗传算法(GA)和粒子群算法(PSO)对分布式水循环模型(时变增益模型)进行参数率定,对比3种算法的收敛速度、所需迭代次数和算法稳定性。结果表明:通过SCE-UA、GA和PSO的优化,模型水平衡系数都控制在0.0左右,而相关系数和效率系数分别能达到0.90和0.84以上,模拟精度较好。但粒子群算法的全局搜索能力和收敛速度优于SCE-UA和遗传算法,所需迭代次数最少,初值敏感性小,更适合时变增益模型的参数寻优,有很高的扩展性和改进潜力。
孙波扬张永勇门宝辉张士锋
关键词:GA算法PSO算法
林芝机场地面强风的统计特征及其对飞行安全的影响被引量:8
2014年
为了正确认识青藏高原山地地面风场对民航飞行安全的影响,采用林芝机场地面测风资料,结合中国民航相关飞行安全标准,分析研究了林芝机场跑道强风的统计学特征及其对飞行安全的影响。结果表明,林芝机场跑道上的强顺风与强侧风频繁出现是影响林芝机场航班安全起降的重要因素。在该机场跑道上,3 m·s-1以上强顺风的全年出现频率为19.4%,5 m·s-1以上超强顺风的全年出现频率为4.4%,最大顺风强度为19.7 m·s-1;7 m·s-1以上强侧风的全年出现频率为7.6%,15 m·s-1以上超强侧风的全年出现频率为0.2%,最大侧风强度为22.2 m·s-1。在林芝机场跑道强风日变化中,强顺风与强侧风在下午出现概率和强度最大,逐时出现频率均大于20.0%。在季节变化中,各个季节强顺风与强侧风对飞行均有较显著的影响,除个别月份外,强顺风每个月出现频率大于15.0%,强侧风大于5.0%。另外,林芝机场跑道两端强风危险差别较大,跑道23端的强顺风和强侧风危险远高于跑道05端。
徐海邹捍李鹏谭波
关键词:强风飞行安全
中尺度海-气耦合模式GRAPES_OMLM对台风珍珠的模拟研究被引量:4
2012年
利用全球/区域同化与预报系统GRAPES(Global/Regional Assimilation and Prediction System)和改进的Mellor-Yamada型海洋混合层模式OMLM(Ocean Mixed Layer Model),建立了一个新的中尺度海-气耦合模式GRAPES_OMLM,并利用该模式对发生于南海的台风珍珠(0601)进行了模拟研究,检验了GRAPES_OMLM对台风的模拟性能,并分析了局地海-气相互作用对台风的影响。结果表明,GRAPES_OMLM基本能模拟出台风天气过程中的主要物理过程。考虑了海-气相互作用的耦合试验所模拟出的台风强度、近台风中心最大风速以及台风后期移动路径,相对于两组控制试验(单独大气模式)的模拟结果都有较大的改进。而且,采用逐日变化海表温度作为下边界条件的控制试验2的模拟结果相对于SST不变的控制试验1更接近观测。耦合模式GRAPES_OMLM能较好地模拟出台风过境海表温度的变化,台风珍珠在其路径右侧有超过4.0℃的降温。SST的变化和海表风应力的变化呈反相关系,风应力的增大伴随着海洋近表层湍流动能(TKE)的加强,大风动力作用是SST降低的主要原因。SST的降低致使海洋向台风输送的热通量减少,进而削弱了台风的强度并改变台风环流结构,同时通过改变位势涡度趋势的一波结构(WN-1)来影响台风的移动路径。
王子谦段安民郑永骏刘琨梁旭东马光
关键词:台风模拟
The Observed Low CO_2 Concentration in the Rongbuk Valley on the Northern Slope of Mt. Everest
2010年
In the summers of 2006 and 2007, the atmospheric CO 2 concentration and the wind speed in the Rongbuk Valley on the northern slope of Mt. Everest were measured by an ultrasonic anemometer with an Li-7500 CO 2 /H 2 O gas analyzer. The average CO 2 concentration was 370.23±0.59 and 367.45±1.91 ppm in June of 2006 and 2007, respectively. The values are much lower than those at sites with similar latitudes and altitudes worldwide. The observed atmospheric CO 2 concentration in Rongbuk Valley can be affected by the transportation of prevailing down-valley winds from the up-valley direction to the observation site. Our results suggest that the Mt. Everest region could be ideal for background atmospheric and environmental studies.
ZHOU Li-BoZOU HanMA Shu-PoLI PengZHU Jin-HuanHUO Cui-Ping
关键词:二氧化碳浓度河谷北坡气体分析仪
1960-2009年横断山区潜在蒸发量时空变化(英文)被引量:14
2012年
Based on the meteorological data of 20 stations in the Hengduan Mountains region during 1961-2009, the annual and seasonal variation of potential evapotranspiration was analyzed in combination with the Penman-Monteith model. With the method of Spline interpolation under ArcGIS, the spatial distribution of potential evapotranspiration was presented to research the regional difference, and the correlation analysis was used to discuss the dominant factor affecting the potential evapotranspiration. The results indicated that the an-nual potential evapotranspiration showed a decreasing tendency since the 1960s, especially from the 1980s to 1990s, while it showed an increasing tendency since 2000. Regional potential evapotranspiration showed a rate of -0.17 mm a?1. Potential evapotranspiration in north, middle and south of the Hengduan Mountains exhibited decreasing trends over the studied period, and its regional trend was on the decline from southwest to northeast.
朱国锋何元庆蒲焘王旭峰贾文雄李宗省辛惠娟
关键词:蒸发量地理学
Sensitivity of simulated tropical intraseasonal oscillations to cumulus schemes被引量:1
2011年
The sensitivity of simulated tropical intraseasonal oscillations (ISO) to different cumulus parameterization schemes was analyzed using an atmospheric general circulation model (latest version-SAMIL2.2.3) developed at the Laboratory for Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG) at the Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP) of the Chinese Academy of Sciences.Results show that the basic features of tropical climatological intraseasonal oscillations (CISO) can be captured using all three cumulus schemes.The CISO simulated by the Tiedtke scheme was found to be more realistic than that of the Manabe and Zhang-McFarlane schemes.The results of simulated transient intraseasonal oscillations (TISO) indicate that although the Tiedtke and the Zhang-McFarlane schemes in the new version SAMIL2.2.3 have been adjusted according to different problems,only the latter can simulate the eastward propagation of the 27-50-day TISO mode.It may be associated with the more realistic diabatic heating profile simulated by the Zhang-McFarlane scheme.In addition,the Manabe scheme in SAMIL2.2.3 is the same as that in the prior version SAMIL2.08.However,some aspects of the physical process,such as the radiation scheme and aerosol condition,have been changed.Conversely the eastward propagation from 100°E to the west of the tropical 27-50-day TISO mode only can be simulated using the Manabe scheme of SAMIL 2.08.Consequently,not all the improvements of physical parameterization schemes work well in every respect.The coordinated developments between dynamic frame and physical processes,and among different physical processes,are important methods that may be used to improve the model.
HU WenTingDUAN AnMinWU GuoXiong
关键词:季节内振荡热带气候积云参数化方案大气环流模式
中尺度海气耦合模式GRAPESOMLM对台风Chanchu的模拟研究
利用全球/区域同化与预报系统GRAPES(Global/Regional Assimilation and Prediction System)和改进了的Mellor-Yamada型海洋混合层模式OMLM(Ocean M...
王子谦段安民郑永骏
关键词:台风模拟
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积云对流参数化方案在热带大气季节内振荡模拟中的重要性
本文利用中国科学院大气物理研究所大气科学和地球流体力学数值模拟国家重点实验室(LASG)的大气环流谱模式的最新版本SAMIL2.2.3系统分析了积云对流参数化方案对热带大气季节内振荡(ISO)模拟的影响。结果表明该模式的...
胡文婷段安民吴国雄
关键词:积云对流参数化方案季节内振荡大气环流模式
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A New Ocean Mixed-Layer Model Coupled into WRF被引量:4
2012年
A new mesoscale air-sea coupled model (WRF- OMLM-Noh) was constructed based on the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model and an improved Mellor-Yamada ocean mixed-layer model from Noh and Kim (OMLM-Noh). Through off-line tests and a simulation of a real typhoon, the authors compared the performance of the WRF-OMLM-Noh with another existing ocean mixed-layer coupled model (WRF-OMLM-Pollard). In the off-line tests with Tropical Ocean Global Atmosphere Program's Coupled Ocean Atmosphere Response Experiment (TOGA-COARE) observational data, the results show that OMLM-Noh is better able to simulate sea surface temperature (SST) variational trends than OMLM -Pollard. Moreover, OMLM-Noh can sufficiently reproduce the diurnal cycle of SST. Regarding the typhoon case study, SST cooling due to wind-driven ocean mixing is underestimated in WRF-OMLM-Pollard, which artificially increases the intensity of the typhoon due to more simulated air-sea heat fluxes. Compared to the WRF- OMLM-Pollard, the performance of WRF-OMLM-Noh is superior in terms of both the spatial distribution and temporal variation of SST and air-sea heat fluxes.
WANG Zi-QianDUAN An-Min
关键词:WRF模式层模型TOGA-COARE海气耦合模式海水表面温度台风强度
一次热带风暴影响高原暴雪的个例分析:基于倾斜涡度发展(SVD)的研究
基于湿位涡(MPV)诊断分析和倾斜涡度发展(SVD)理论,本文对2007年11月一次孟加拉湾热带风暴北上造成青藏高原暴雪的天气进行了研究。结果表明:热带风暴螺旋云系移动至高原东南部受陡峭地形抬升与高层北侧下滑的干冷空气(...
王子谦朱伟军段安民
关键词:暴雪湿位涡倾斜涡度发展
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