In this paper the limiting distribution of the least square estimate for the autoregressive coefficient of a nearly unit root model with GARCH errors is derived. Since the limiting distribution depends on the unknown variance of the errors, an empirical likelihood ratio statistic is proposed from which confidence intervals can be constructed for the nearly unit root model without knowing the variance. To gain an intuitive sense for the empirical likelihood ratio, a small simulation for the asymptotic distribution is given.
YUAN Yu-ze ZHANG Rong-mao Department of Mathematics, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310027, China
Let X1,...,Xn be independent and identically distributed random variables and Wn = Wn(X1,...,Xn) be an estimator of parameter θ.Denote Tn =(Wn - θ0)/sn,where sn2 is a variance estimator of Wn.In this paper a general result on the limiting distributions of the non-central studen-tized statistic Tn is given.Especially,when s2n is the jacknife estimate of variance,it is shown that the limit could be normal,a weighted χ2 distribution,a stable distribution,or a mixture of normal and stable distribution.Applications to the power of the studentized U-and L-tests are also discussed.
