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国家自然科学基金(41175047)

作品数:15 被引量:99H指数:5
相关作者:沈杭锋翟国庆陈勇明查贲郭文政更多>>
相关机构:杭州市气象局浙江大学中国气象科学研究院更多>>
发文基金:国家自然科学基金国家重点基础研究发展计划公益性行业(气象)科研专项更多>>
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15 条 记 录,以下是 1-10
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Effects of Doubled Carbon Dioxide on Rainfall Responses to Large-Scale Forcing:A Two-Dimensional Cloud-Resolving Modeling Study被引量:2
2014年
Rainfall responses to doubled atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration were investigated through the analysis of two pairs of two-dimensional cloud-resolving model sensitivity experiments. One pair of experiments simulated pre-summer heavy rainfall over southern China around the summer solstice, whereas the other pair of experiments simulated tropical rainfall around the winter solstice. The analysis of the time and model domain mean heat budget revealed that the enhanced local atmospheric warming was associated with doubled carbon dioxide through the weakened infrared radiative cooling during the summer solstice. The weakened mean pre-summer rainfall corresponded to the weakened mean infrared radiative cooling. Doubled carbon dioxide increased the mean tropical atmospheric warming via the enhanced mean latent heat in correspondence with the strengthened mean infrared radiative cooling during the winter solstice. The enhanced mean tropical rainfall was associated with the increased mean latent heat.
LI XiaofanSHEN XinyongLIU Jia
关键词:CO2倍增平均降雨量大气变暖
一例底层涡旋扰动触发强对流的中尺度分析被引量:1
2018年
通过对2009年6月5日一例皖北强灾害天气过程的中尺度分析,发现底层大气中存在西南气流的中尺度汇合线,在汇合线附近、基本西南气流的流场环境下,隐含着中尺度涡旋扰动.利用Shuman-Shapiro平滑滤波方案对日本中尺度再分析资料进行处理,揭示了滤波后出现的中尺度涡旋扰动,该涡旋扰动对应边界层中尺度辐合区和辐合中心,以及气流的最强上升支.这些中尺度扰动特征与之后初始对流回波单体的发生有较好的对应关系,说明中尺度扰动涡旋中心附近及东侧易发生对流,或者扰动涡旋率先触发了对流.
章元直苏涛沈杭锋翟国庆
关键词:强对流天气触发机制中尺度分析平滑滤波
浙江北部一次短时大暴雨的中尺度分析被引量:11
2017年
利用常规气象观测资料、区域自动站加密观测资料和GFS 0.5°×0.5°逐6h的分析场数据以及多普勒雷达、风云卫星资料,对2013年6月24日浙江北部一次短时大暴雨天气过程的特征及其成因进行了中尺度分析,结果表明:受西太平洋副热带高压西北部边缘的暖湿西南气流和850hPa暖切的共同影响,引发了浙江北部的短时大暴雨天气。在有利的大尺度环境场和物理量场配合下,当低层925hPa的中尺度辐合线和对流层中层700hPa的垂直上升运动区相重合时,中尺度辐合线附近会产生强对流,这对强对流的发生发展具有一定的预报指示意义。此次暴雨过程与中尺度辐合线密切相关,中尺度辐合线是由偏东风和东北风辐合而成,该辐合线先于降水存在,而且从地面一直伸展到对流层中层,之后触发了浙北地区的短时大暴雨天气,强降水区域和强回波带落在中尺度辐合线附近区域。
沈杭锋陈光宇金成周玲丽方陆俊
关键词:短时大暴雨中尺度辐合线触发机制
Surface Rainfall and Cloud Budgets Associated with Mei-yu Torrential Rainfall over Eastern China during June 2011被引量:2
2014年
Surface rainfall and cloud budgets associated with three heavy rainfall events that occurred over eastern China during the mei-yu season in June 2011 were analyzed using 2D cumulus ensemble model simulation data. Model domain mean rainfall showed three peaks in response to three prescribed ascending motion maxima, primarily through the mean moisture convergence during the torrential rainfall period. Prescribed ascending motion throughout the troposphere produced strong convective rainfall during the first(9 June) and third(17–18 June) rainfall events, whereas strong prescribed ascending motion in the mid and upper troposphere and weak subsidence near the surface generated equally important stratiform and convective rainfall during the second rainfall event(14 June). The analysis of surface rainfall budgets reveals that convective rainfall was associated with atmospheric drying during the first event and moisture convergence during the third event. Both stratiform and convective rainfall responded primarily to moisture convergence during the second event. An analysis of grid data shows that the first and third mean rainfall maxima had smaller horizontal scales of the precipitation system than the second.
ZHAI GuoqingLI XiaofanZHU PeijunSHEN HangfengZHANG Yuanzhi
关键词:地面降水暴雨期降水事件美玉
A Case Study of the November 2012 Mixed Rain-Snow Storm over North China被引量:1
2013年
A mixed rain-snow storm associated with a strong burst of cold air and development of an extratropical cyclone occurred over North China from 3 to 5 November 2012.This early snowfall event was characterized by a dramatic drop in temperature,strong winds,high precipitation intensity,broad spatial extent,and coexistence of multi-phase precipitating hydrometeors.This study investigates the multi-scale interactions between the large-scale circulation background and the synoptic-scale weather systems associated with the storm.The results are as follows.(1)The Arctic Oscillation(AO)had been in its negative phase long before the event,leading to southward advection of cold air into North China in advance of the storm.(2)The large-scale atmospheric circulation experienced a decreased number of long waves upstream of North China prior to the storm,resulting in reduced wave velocity and an almost stagnant low pressure system(extratropical cyclone)over North China.(3)An-shaped blocking high over East Asia and the western Pacific obstructed the eastward movement of an upstream trough,allowing the corresponding surface cyclone to stabilize and persist over Beijing and its neighboring areas.This blocking high was a major factor in making this event a historically most severe precipitation event in autumn in Beijing for the past 60 years.(4)Baroclinic instability at lower levels gave rise to rapid development of the cyclone under the classical"second type"development mechanism for extratropical cyclones.(5)Moisture originated from the Yellow Sea entered the slowly-moving cyclone in a steady stream,creating fairly favorable water vapor supply for the heavy rainfall-snowfall,especially during the later stage of the cyclone development.(6)Moisture transport and frontal lifting triggered low-level instability and updrafts.Intensification of the front enhanced the vertical wind shear,causing conditional symmetric instability(CSI)to expand upward within the unstable lower troposphere,and to eventually gear into the CSI region of the
王东海端义宏刘英梁钊明柳崇健赵艳风张雨微尹金芳王洪
关键词:斜压不稳定条件性对称不稳定温带气旋降水事件
一次爆发性气旋及其诱发的大风天气分析被引量:13
2014年
利用华东区域实况自动观测资料和全球预报系统的FNL再分析资料对一次爆发性气旋及其引发的大风天气进行诊断分析,结果发现,由高空急流调整导致叠加在气旋上空的中层辐散区,中高层干冷空气伴随正涡度,沿西北气流下传并在低层侵入气旋后部,气旋前部850 h Pa西南急流输送的暖湿气流和气旋西侧槽前西南急流输送的暖湿气流通过潜热释放共同促成气旋的爆发性发展;同时在气旋发展初期,高层高湿位涡区的向下传输,也加速了气旋的快速发展。气旋第三象限的大风由动量下传触发强对流并形成大风叠加所致,低层西北干冷气流切断低层的增湿,使大风区降雨很弱。低层切变线与地面带状CAPE高值区重合,该区域未来1~2 h将出现大风,对预报有明显的指示意义。
查贲沈杭锋郭文政徐柳韵陈勇明
关键词:爆发性气旋大风急流切变线
Role of a Meso-γ Vortex in Meiyu Torrential Rainfall over the Hangzhou Bay,China:An Observational Study
2015年
A mesoscale torrential rainfall event that occurred over eastern China in June 2013 is analyzed by using observational data.The results show that a mesoscale convergence line and a weak convective cloud line formed over the northern part of the Hangzhou Bay during the onset of the torrential rainfall event.A meso-vortex appeared over the confluence point of northeasterly flow associated with the Yellow-Sea high,easterly flow from rainfall area,and southeasterly flow from the Hangzhou Bay.The meso-vortex with a horizontal scale of 10-20 km lasted for about 1 h for stable surface circulations.The analysis of radar retrieval reveals that the meso-vortex in the boundary layer occurred at the south of strong radar echo.The formation of the meso-vortex turned to enhance convergence and cyclonic vorticity in the lower troposphere,which strengthened updrafts that are tilted into convective clouds and caused torrential rainfall.Thus,the occurrence of the meso-vortex in boundary layer is one of the mechanisms that are responsible for the enhancement of convective development.
翟国庆张红蕾沈杭锋朱佩君苏涛李小凡
关键词:梅雨暴雨中尺度辐合线对流云团中尺度暴雨
In-Situ Measurements of Cloud-Precipitation Microphysics in the East Asian Monsoon Region Since 1960被引量:4
2015年
A large number of in-situ measurements of cloud-precipitation microphysical properties have been made since 1960, including measurements of particle size distribution, particle concentration, and liquid water content of clouds and rain. These measurements have contributed to considerable progress in understanding microphysical processes in clouds and precipitation and significant improvements in parameterizations of cloud microphysics in numerical models. This work reviews key findings regarding cloud-precipitation microphysics over China. The total number concentrations of various particles vary significantly, with certain characteristic spatial scales. The size distributions of cloud droplets in stratiform clouds can generally be fit with gamma distributions, but the fit parameters cover a wide range. Raindrop size distributions(RSDs)associated with stratiform clouds can be fit with either exponential or gamma distributions, while RSDs associated with convective or mixed stratiform-cumuliform clouds are best fit with gamma distributions.Concentrations of ice nuclei(IN) over China are higher than those observed over other regions, and increase exponentially as temperature decreases. The particle size distributions of ice crystals, snow crystals, and hailstones sampled at a variety of locations can be reliably approximated by using exponential distributions,while aerosol particle size distributions are best described as the sum of a modified gamma distribution and a Junge power-law distribution. These results are helpful for evaluating and improving the fidelity of physical processes and hydrometeor fields simulated by microphysical parameterizations. The comprehensive summary and analysis of previous work presented here also provide useful guidelines for the design of future observational programs.
王东海尹金方翟国庆
关键词:东亚季风区微物理过程GAMMA分布伽玛分布
1960年以来东亚季风区云-降水微物理的直接观测研究被引量:6
2014年
云-降水的直接观测结果是云微物理参数化的重要依据。自1960年以来,处于东亚季风影响下的中国实施了大量对云-降水微物理参数的观测和研究,旨在加深对云-降水微物理过程的认识,从而改进数值模式中云微物理参数化方案和指导人工影响天气作业。云-降水微物理参数包括气溶胶、冰核、云滴、雨滴、冰晶、雪晶、冰雹等粒子浓度和谱分布,以及云滴、雨滴含水量等。中国已有云-降水微物理参数的成果可归纳为:(1)通常云-降水微物理粒子浓度变化较大,但总体变化有一定的范围;(2)采用Γ函数拟合云滴谱更接近实际谱,但不同拟合谱参数差异较大;(3)可用指数函数和Γ函数来拟合层状云降水雨滴谱,Γ函数拟合积云和层积混合云降水雨滴谱精度更高;(4)中国冰核浓度较高,冰核浓度随温度的降低近似成指数变化;(5)冰晶谱、雪晶谱、冰雹谱通常采用指数函数来描述;(6)通常使用荣格(Junge)和Γ函数来分段描述气溶胶粒子谱拟合误差更小。由于云-降水过程及其反馈作用描述不准确是数值模式预报结果不确定性的最大因素,中国正在不断地推进云降水的微物理观测研究,以期进一步加深对东亚季风区云-降水微物理特征的认识,从而为模式中微物理参数化方案的改进提供观测依据和科学指导。基于数值预报模式中云微物理过程参数化发展的需要,总结了中国1960年以来云-降水微物理直接观测的研究成果,可为东亚地区云-降水微物理研究及其模式参数化方案的改进提供观测依据。此外,针对云微物理参化发展的需求,结合过去已有的大量观测提出了几点建议,为今后云-降水物理综合性观测方案的设计提供参考。
王东海尹金方翟国庆
关键词:微物理特征
台风海葵引发浙西山区大暴雨的成因被引量:26
2014年
利用中尺度数值模式WRF,结合多普勒雷达资料、卫星TBB资料和自动站资料对2012年8月6—9日由台风海葵引发的杭州西部山区强暴雨洪涝灾害进行分析。结果表明,登陆台风内部的螺旋云带中有多个中尺度云团活动,云团不断从台风螺旋云带内部分裂生成,并有一个从加强发展到逐渐消亡的过程,正是在中尺度云团的直接作用下,给台风经过地区造成了一次又一次的强降水,导致了浙西北等地区持续不断发生暴雨,因此,中尺度系统是造成台风暴雨的直接原因;台风外围的东北风、西北风和偏西风在有利地形配合下,往往会汇合形成中尺度辐合线,未来强降水区域也基本落在中尺度辐合线附近区域,中尺度辐合线是触发暴雨对流发生、发展的重要系统;浙江杭州西北部山区地形对于台风暴雨主要体现在增幅作用,对台风路径、降水范围影响不大。
沈杭锋高天赤周春雨查贲郭文政翟国庆
关键词:台风暴雨中尺度系统中尺度辐合线
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