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Evolution and customisation of the RegCM model for urban climate studies:Addressing multifaceted challenges and advancing climate science
2024年
The Regional Climate Model(RegCM)proves valuable for climate analysis and has been applied to a wide range of climate change aspects and other environmental issues at a regional scale.The model also demonstrated success in diverse areas of urban research,including urban heat island studies,extreme climate events analysis,assessing urban resilience,and evaluating urbanization impacts on climate and air quality.Recently,more studies have been conducted in utilizing RegCM to address climate change in cities,due to its enhanced ability over the years to capture meteorological phenomena at city scales.However,there are many challenges associated with its implementation in meso-scale research,which are attributed to various shortcomings and thus create room for further improvement in the model.This paper presents a comprehensive overview of the evolution of the RegCM over the years and its customisation across various parameters,demonstrating its versatility in urban climate studies and underscoring the model’s pivotal role in addressing multifaceted challenges in urban environments.By addressing these aspects,the paper offers valuable insights and recommendations for researchers seeking to enhance the accuracy and efficacy of urban climate simulations using the RegCM system,thereby contributing to the advancement of urban climate science and sustainability.
Naushin YasminSafi UllahSami G.Al-Ghamdi
关键词:REGCM
登陆中国的热带气旋活动及其风雨变化的RegCM4集合预估被引量:1
2024年
登陆热带气旋通过带来狂风、暴雨,给中国沿海地区的人民生活和经济财产造成巨大影响,合理预估全球变暖背景下登陆中国热带气旋的风雨影响,可为中国沿海地区的防灾、减灾工作提供科学指导。文中基于5个CMIP5全球气候模式驱动的区域气候模式RegCM4对当代和两种情景下21世纪末期的动力降尺度模拟结果,评估了区域气候模式对当代登陆中国的热带气旋强度、路径、风雨影响的模拟能力,在此基础上,对该热带气旋特征的未来变化进行了预估。结果表明:区域气候模式可以合理再现观测中登陆中国的热带气旋主要特征,但存在一定的偏差。未来在RCP4.5和RCP8.5情景下,登陆辽宁、山东、江苏、广东、广西、海南和整个中国的热带气旋数量都将增多,其中辽宁、山东和江苏的增幅较大。相比当代,未来情景下登陆中国后的热带气旋强度和大风影响将增强。登陆热带气旋的路径频率有向北移动的倾向,热带气旋导致的平均降水强度在大部分地区将加强,在山东半岛及其附近海域将减少。总体上,在全球变暖背景下,21世纪末期将有更强、更多的热带气旋登陆中国,且其带来的风雨影响也将加强。
吴婕石英
关键词:登陆热带气旋区域气候模式
Evaluation and Projection of Population Exposure to Temperature Extremes over the Beijing−Tianjin−Hebei Region Using a High-Resolution Regional Climate Model RegCM4 Ensemble
2024年
Temperature extremes over rapidly urbanizing regions with high population densities have been scrutinized due to their severe impacts on human safety and economics.First of all,the performance of the regional climate model RegCM4 with a hydrostatic or non-hydrostatic dynamic core in simulating seasonal temperature and temperature extremes was evaluated over the historical period of 1991–99 at a 12-km spatial resolution over China and a 3-km resolution over the Beijing−Tianjin−Hebei(JJJ)region,a typical urban agglomeration of China.Simulations of spatial distributions of temperature extremes over the JJJ region using RegCM4 with hydrostatic and non-hydrostatic cores showed high spatial correlations of more than 0.8 with the observations.Under a warming climate,temperature extremes of annual maximum daily temperature(TXx)and summer days(SU)in China and the JJJ region showed obvious increases by the end of the 21st century while there was a general reduction in frost days(FD).The ensemble of RegCM4 with different land surface components was used to examine population exposure to temperature extremes over the JJJ region.Population exposure to temperature extremes was found to decrease in 2091−99 relative to 1991−99 over the majority of the JJJ region due to the joint impacts of increases in temperature extremes over the JJJ and population decreases over the JJJ region,except for downtown areas.Furthermore,changes in population exposure to temperature extremes were mainly dominated by future population changes.Finally,we quantified changes in exposure to temperature extremes with temperature increase over the JJJ region.This study helps to provide relevant policies to respond future climate risks over the JJJ region.
Peihua QINZhenghui XIERui HANBuchun LIU
Climatic impacts induced by winter wheat irrigation over North China simulated by the nonhydrostatic RegCM4.7
2024年
Quantification of the impact of winter wheat irrigation on the climate and the occurrence of extreme climatic events over North China is crucial for regional adaptation planning.Previous related studies mainly focused on the impact on surface processes;however,few focused on the effects of extreme events using high-resolution nonhydrostatic regional climate models.Here,the 9-km-resolution nonhydrostatic RegCM4.7 was coupled with a crop irrigation scheme and an updated winter wheat irrigation dataset to better simulate irrigation effects.Two experiments were conducted with and without winter wheat irrigation to isolate the effects of irrigation.Results showed that irrigation simulation reduces the model biases in temperature,precipitation,latent heat flux,soil moisture,sensitive heat flux,and top-layer soil moisture.Moreover,it also reduces the bias and increases the correlation with observations obtained in irrigated areas,especially in summer,indicating better representation of irrigation schemes.Winter wheat irrigation tends to cause substantial cooling of the local surface maximum,minimum,and mean air temperatures(by-1.68,-0.34,and-0.79℃,respectively)over irrigated areas of North China,with the largest changes observed in relation to maximum temperature.Additionally,precipitation is found to increase during spring and summer,which is strongly related to water vapor transport in the lower levels of the atmosphere.Further analyses indicated that the number of annual mean hot days decrease(-13.9 d),whereas the number of both comfort days(+10.2 d)and rainy days(days with total precipitation greater than 1 mm:+6.6 d)increase over irrigated areas,demonstrating beneficial feedback to human perception and agriculture.Fortunately,although the heat wave risk increases(number of annual mean heat wave days:+5.8 d),the impact is limited to small areas within irrigated region.Additionally,no notable change was found in terms of heavy rainfall events and precipitation intensity,which might be an undereastimation caused by
Jia WUZhen-Yu HANXue-Jie GAOZheng-Jia LIU
Projected changes in Köppen-Trewartha climate zones under 1.5-4℃global warming targets over mid-high latitudes of Northern Asia using an ensemble of RegCM4 simulations
2024年
Mid-high latitude Northern Asia is one of the most vulnerable and sensitive areas to global warming,but relatively less studied previously.We used an ensemble of a regional climate model(RegCM4)projections to assess future changes in surface air temperature,precipitation and Köppen-Trewartha(K-T)climate types in Northern Asia under the 1.5-4℃global warming targets.RegCM4 is driven by five CMIP5 global models over an East Asia domain at a grid spacing of 25 km.Validation of the present day(1986-2005)simulations shows that the ensembles of RegCM4(ensR)and driving GCMs(ensG)reproduce the major characters of the observed temperature,precipitation and K-T climate zones reasonably well.Greater and more realistic spatial detail is found in RegCM4 compared to the driving GCMs.A general warming and overall increases in precipitation are projected over the region,with these changes being more pronounced at higher warming levels.The projected warming by ensR shows different spatial patterns,and is in general lower,compared to ensG in most months of the year,while the percentage increases of precipitation are maximum during the cold months.The future changes in K-T climate zones are characterized by a substantial expansion of Dc(temperature oceanic)and retreat of Ec(sub-arctic continental)over the region,reaching∼20%under the 4℃warming level.The most notable change in climate types in ensR is found over Japan(∼60%),followed by Southern Siberia,Mongolia,and the Korean Peninsula(∼40%).The largest change in the K-T climate types is found when increasing from 2 to 3℃.The results will help to better assess the impacts of climate change and in implementation of appropriate adaptation measures over the region.
Jie WUXue-Jie GAOXian-Bing TANGFilippo GIORGI
基于RegCM4模式的华北区域未来洪涝灾害风险预估
2023年
基于区域气候模式RegCM4东亚地区25 km分辨率气候变化试验模拟结果,在分析华北区域基准期(1986—2005年)洪涝灾害致灾危险度以及人口和GDP承灾体易损度基础上,建立区域灾害风险评估模型;应用建立的模型预估华北区域RCP4.5和RCP8.5两种情景下近期(2020—2035年)、中期(2046—2065年)和远期(2080—2098年)洪涝灾害风险的变化。结果表明:(1)RegCM4对华北区域基准期洪涝灾害危险度评估指标R_(20mm)和R_(x5day)模拟能力较好,基准期洪涝灾害风险Ⅲ级及以上的区域位于北京、天津、河北南部和东部以及山西南部等地。(2)RCP4.5和RCP8.5情景下,未来3个不同时期华北区域大部分地区R_(20mm)和R_(x5day)、洪涝致灾危险度以及风险增加,RCP8.5情景下增加更明显。风险等级Ⅲ级及以上范围在两种情景下均在中期最大。
刘月丽张冬峰陈颖安炜
关键词:洪涝灾害
基于RegCM4模式的我国西南地区极端降水变化预估研究被引量:4
2023年
基于5个全球气候系统模式结果驱动的高分辨率区域气候模式(RegCM4)模拟输出,系统评估了RegCM4模式对中国西南地区极端降水变化的模拟性能,并科学预估了中国西南地区极端降水的未来演变特征。结果表明,RegCM4模式能合理再现西南地区极端降水变化特征,但模拟的四川中部的湿偏差较大而四川盆地干偏差较大;进行偏差校正后,模拟性能有所提升,对西南地区极端降水模拟偏差有所减小。相较于当代气候(1986-2005年),就区域平均而言在21世纪(2021-2098年),有效降水总量(Prcptot)、强降水日数(R10 mm)、日最大降水量(Rx1day)和极端降水量(R95p)都明显增加;在RCP4.5和RCP8.5情景下,Rx1day和R95p在西南大部分地区增多,到21世纪末RCP4.5情景下增加幅度分别为16.0%和12.6%;Prcptot和R10 mm未来变化存在一定的区域差异,但Prcptot和R10 mm变化在空间上较为相似,在云南南部和四川盆地地区呈现减少趋势,其余地区增加明显;且RCP8.5高排放情景的变化幅度明显大于RCP4.5情景。
刘博陈活泼华维
关键词:极端降水
基于RegCM3和DLBRM的耦合系统CRCHMS的构建及其在黑河上游的应用被引量:1
2023年
以高寒山区—黑河流域上游为研究区,确定区域气候模式RegCM3的模拟方案,率定分布式水文模型(DLBRM),并开发了RegCM3和DLBRM模型接口,从而构建了区域气候水文耦合模拟系统CRCHMS。结果表明,以RegCM3作为气象驱动数据的CRCHMS系统模拟性能优于以观测站点作为气象驱动数据的DLBRM模型,对莺落峡径流量的模拟值与实测值的相关系数在校准期和验证期分别为0.47和0.62,均方根误差分别为0.045和0.044 cm/d,相对误差分别为-0.4%和6%,纳什系数在率定期和验证期分别为0.22和0.36。
王勇王勇张兰慧于德才
关键词:REGCM3黑河流域径流量
RegCM4.6两种积云参数化方案在东亚模拟结果的评估
2023年
新一代区域气候模式RegCM4.6引进了Mix积云参数化方案,可以将之前版本中的Emanuel和Grell方案结合在一起,以弥补单个参数化方案的不足。利用2016年MODIS(Moderate-resolution imaging spectroradiometer)数据对RegCM4.6中Mix和Emanuel积云参数化方案模拟的东亚云量(Cloud fraction,CF)、冰水柱含量(Ice water path,IWP)和液水柱含量(Liquid water path,LWP)进行初步评估,计算了相关系数(r)、平均绝对误差(Mean absolute error,MAE)、平均偏差(Mean bias error,MBE)和均方根误差(Root mean square error,RMSE),以便为相关研究选取积云参数化方案提供参考依据。结果表明:(1)模拟的CF的MBE大致以胡焕庸线为界,西北部为轻微高估,东南部通常为低估。2种方案在夏季的模拟效果最好,冬季最差。Mix方案的MAE、MBE和RMSE的绝对值在四季普遍小于Emanuel方案。(2)模式明显低估了东亚的IWP,除夏季外,2种方案模拟的IWP与MODIS的都呈显著负相关,表明模式难以准确模拟出云中冰晶相关的物理过程。(3)2种方案模拟的LWP在青藏高原和东部海域均为低估,在中国南部、中部和北部为高估,但Mix方案的偏差更接近于0。冬季,2种方案的评估参数相近,其他季节Mix方案的MAE、MBE和RMSE的绝对值均小于Emanuel方案,其中MAE相差21~39 g·m-2。因此,Mix方案更适用于在东亚进行云水资源方面的模拟研究。
刘鑫亢燕铭辛渝陈勇航周海江秦汉何清王智敏
关键词:区域气候模式云量
Sensitivity Study of the RegCM4’s Surface Schemes in the Simulations of West Africa Climate
2022年
Two simulations of five years (2003-2007) were conducted with the Regional Climate models RegCM4, one coupled with Land surface models BATS and the other with CLM4.5 over West Africa, where simulated air temperature and precipitation were analyzed. The purpose of this study is to assess the performance of RegCM4 coupled with the new CLM4.5 Land surface scheme and the standard one named BATS in order to find the best configuration of RegCM4 over West African. This study could improve our understanding of the sensitivity of land surface model in West Africa climate simulation, and provide relevant information to RegCM4 users. The results show fairly realistic restitution of West Africa’s climatology and indicate correlations of 0.60 to 0.82 between the simulated fields (BATS and CLM4.5) for precipitation. The substitution of BATS surface scheme by CLM4.5 in the model configuration, leads mainly to an improvement of precipitation over the Atlantic Ocean, however, the impact is not sufficiently noticeable over the continent. While the CLM4.5 experiment restores the seasonal cycles and spatial distribution, the biases increase for precipitation and temperature. Positive biases already existing with BATS are amplified over some sub-regions. This study concludes that temporal localization (seasonal effect), spatial distribution (grid points) and magnitude of precipitation and temperature (bias) are not simultaneously improved by CLM4.5. The introduction of the new land surface scheme CLM4.5, therefore, leads to a performance of the same order as that of BATS, albeit with a more detailed formulation.
Adjon Anderson KouassiBrahima KoneSiélé SilueAlima DajumaToure E. N’datchohMarcellin AdonArona DiedhiouVéronique Yoboue
关键词:REGCM

相关作者

杨雅薇
作品数:21被引量:55H指数:4
供职机构:上海市气候中心
研究主题:区域气候模式 降水距平百分率 温度距平 REGCM NCC
董广涛
作品数:35被引量:157H指数:8
供职机构:上海市气候中心
研究主题:区域气候模式 回报试验 降水距平百分率 温度距平 夏季
吕世华
作品数:328被引量:3,976H指数:34
供职机构:成都信息工程大学大气科学学院
研究主题:数值模拟 青藏高原 夏季 绿洲 金塔绿洲
陈伯民
作品数:66被引量:463H指数:14
供职机构:上海市气候中心
研究主题:延伸期预报 区域气候模式 回报试验 强降水过程 夏季
丁一汇
作品数:432被引量:12,678H指数:68
供职机构:中国气象局国家气候中心
研究主题:气候变化 降水 季风 气候模式 区域气候模式